You Don’t Need Hindsight to Spot Stage 3
Someone recently commented that identifying Stage 3 is difficult and questioned whether it can only be spotted after the fact. It’s a fair concern. Recognizing a developing stage 3 takes practice, but it can be done while it is happening.
You won’t necessarily recognize Stage 3 the moment it begins. What initially looks like a normal pullback may gradually reveal a change in character as the evidence builds. That delay does not mean you have to wait until the damage is obvious.
Stan Weinstein and Mark Minervini describe the characteristics of a developing Stage 3. William O’Neil also emphasizes watching distribution, abnormal behavior in leading stocks, and the performance of your recent purchases. These observations help you recognize changing conditions and make decisions while the outcome is still uncertain.
That’s exactly what I walk through in this video. Using chart replay in MTS Velocity, I examine the indexes, sectors, industry groups, and leading stocks to show how the warning signs develop. We discuss what those changes mean for protecting gains, reducing exposure, and deciding when conditions justify getting more involved again.
A potential top can still resolve into another advance, so recognizing Stage 3 requires staying responsive to new evidence. I’ve sped the video up to 1.5× to keep the walkthrough moving. If you’re getting started with stage analysis, this should help you understand what to look for and how to practice recognizing it.
Watch the video: Stage Analysis: How to Spot Stage 3 in Real Time
https://tradingmomentum.substack.com/p/stage-analysis-how-to-spot-stage
















