Are You Missing Stocks by Only Looking for Strength?
I got a good question from a subscriber, and I think many newer traders have probably wondered the same thing.
"If I filter for an MTS Score 80+ (similar to the IBD Composite Rating), am I missing stocks that are just starting to improve from lower levels?"
Yes, that assumption makes sense.
But this is also where growth stock investing and momentum trading can feel counterintuitive.
If you filter for an MTS Score above 80, you may miss some stocks that are just beginning to improve from lower levels.
However, the purpose of that filter is not to find stocks at the bottom.
The goal is to find stocks that have already started proving themselves as leaders.
William O'Neil's research, along with the work of many great growth stock and momentum traders, shows that the biggest winning stocks often display strength before their biggest moves.
They typically already have:
• Strong relative strength
• Big earnings and sales growth
• Strong margins or ROE
• Improving institutional sponsorship
• Leadership within a strong industry group
• Price action near new highs
All before the majority of the move occurs.
Conventional wisdom makes people want to find stocks early at the bottom or near the bottom.
But growth stock investors are usually looking for confirmation that a stock is becoming a true leader.
Many of the stocks that have gone up 100%, 200%, or more over the past few months already had strong ratings above 80 before the majority of the move happened.
CIEN is a good example.
When I first mentioned CIEN back in January, it already had strong ratings and a Relative Strength Rating of 98.
Many people would assume that means they “missed it.”
But from that point, the stock still went up more than 125%.
Strength often comes before more strength.
So yes, a lower MTS Score filter can help you cast a wider net for earlier improvement.
But an MTS Score above 80 is designed to focus on strength, leadership, and confirmation.
We are not trying to buy the weakest stocks before they turn.
We are trying to find the strongest stocks as they prove they are leaders.
The MTS Score is a proprietary leadership rating that evaluates factors such as Relative Strength, EPS growth, Sales growth, ROE, Margins, Industry Group Relative Strength, and other characteristics commonly found in leading stocks.