This Stock Had an 82 RS Rating Before It Ran 225%
One of the biggest misconceptions in momentum trading is that once a stock has a high Relative Strength rating, the move must already be over.
MRVL tells a very different story.
Back in April, the stock broke out of a six-month base. At the time of the breakout, its one-year RS rating was already 82.
If you missed the April 1 breakout on heavy volume into new highs, the stock offered another opportunity on April 17. It formed a tight area with a clearly defined level for placing a stop.
By then, its one-year RS rating had climbed to 90.
From the first entry, MRVL advanced roughly 225%.
From the second entry, it gained nearly 140%.
High relative strength did not mean the move was over.
It was evidence that the stock was already separating itself from the rest of the market.
I have always tracked the RS ratings of stocks at the time I purchased them in my model books, but I wanted traders to be able to study this for themselves, so I created a Historical RS feature.
You can now select any previous date and see exactly what a stock’s Relative Strength rating was at that moment.
What you will discover is that many of the market’s biggest winners already had RS ratings of 80 or higher before their largest advances began.
MU provides an even more dramatic example.
When MU broke out on April 22, its one-year RS rating was already 98.
The stock went on to advance more than 160% from that point.
According to the argument that high RS means the move is already over, MU should have had almost no upside remaining.
The exact opposite happened.
This is not simply something William O’Neil wrote about in How to Make Money in Stocks.
You can go back and see the evidence for yourself.
High RS does not tell you the opportunity is over.
Sometimes, it tells you the real move is just beginning.