Momentum Trading Strategy

Notes

Lessons from Legendary Traders

Notes built around one named market figure's own words or story, such as O'Neil, Livermore, Minervini, Seykota, Druckenmiller, Tudor Jones or other Market Wizards.

Showing 181–200 of 263 notes

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“Three out of four stocks will move in the same direction as the market.” William O’Neil

You already know this is true.

Most stocks rise and fall with the indexes. Even great companies struggle when the market is weak.

But here is the edge.

The stocks that do not break when the market does are often becoming the next leaders.

They hold up during corrections. They break out while the market is still consolidating. And in bear markets, a few even make new highs while indexes make new lows.

That behavior is not random. It is relative strength and institutional accumulation.

I just published a breakdown with real chart examples showing how to spot leadership early.

Read it here 👇

https://tradingmomentum.substack.com/p/why-most-stocks-follow-the-market

ArticleWhy Most Stocks Follow the Market and How to Spot the Next Leaders Early
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Why Intelligence Does Not Make You Money in Trading

Victor Sperandeo once told a story in Market Wizards that every trader should read.

He described two people he trained.

One was a former phone clerk. Aggressive. Alert. But shaped by trauma from Vietnam. He was always afraid of losing. In trading, that fear made him cut losses quickly and protect capital first.

The other was a genius.

A 188 IQ.

Amazing performance on Jeopardy.

And in five years of trading, he never made a dime.

Sperandeo’s conclusion was simple:

You cannot train people to trade by just giving them knowledge. The key to success is emotional discipline.

Making money has nothing to do with intelligence.

Think about that.

Wall Street is full of brilliant minds. If intelligence were the edge, far more people would be consistently profitable.

But markets do not reward who is smartest. They reward who can manage fear, control ego, and execute under pressure.

You can be extremely intelligent and still fail. You can know very little and succeed if you act with discipline.

In trading, your biggest advantage is not what you know. It is how you behave when it matters.

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Why I Believe Focus Beats Diversification

Most investors are taught that diversification is safety. Own more. Spread risk. Hold everything.

But William O’Neil saw it differently:

“Diversification is a hedge for ignorance. I think you are much better off owning a few stocks and knowing a great deal about them. By being very selective, you increase your chances of picking superior performers. You can also watch those stocks much more carefully, which is important in controlling risk.”

That is the real point.

Owning more does not make you safer if you understand less. Spreading attention across dozens of names often means you are not truly managing any of them.

When you own fewer stocks, you can study them deeply. You understand their behavior. You recognize when something changes. You can react quickly instead of hoping.

Selectivity increases your odds. Attention improves risk control. Knowledge replaces blind diversification.

If you want better results, stop trying to own everything. Own less. Know more.

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The Five Rules That Built One of the Greatest Traders in History

Ed Seykota, featured in Market Wizards, distilled decades of elite performance into five rules that still define professional trading today:

  1. Cut losses.

  2. Ride winners.

  3. Keep bets small.

  4. Follow the rules without question.

  5. Know when to break the rules.

Most traders fail not because they lack indicators, data, or setups, but because they violate one or more of these principles under pressure. They hold losers. They take profits too early. They oversize. They abandon discipline when emotion takes over.

And that final rule matters, but it only applies after years of experience. Knowing when to break the rules is something earned through real screen time, mistakes, and mastery of the first four.

These rules are simple, but extremely difficult to execute with consistency. Sometimes the easiest way to improve performance is to put more effort into following them.

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The Investor Who Treated Markets as a Survival Game

Gerald M. Loeb was a legendary Wall Street operator shaped by the aftermath of the 1929 crash. Trading in the same broad era as Jesse Livermore, Loeb became respected not for bold predictions, but for something far rarer at the time: surviving brutal market cycles with capital intact when many did not.

He viewed markets as environments where discipline mattered more than intelligence and where staying alive financially was the first objective. That survival-first mindset quietly influenced generations of traders and sits at the foundation of modern momentum and trend-following approaches.

It is remarkable that lessons learned nearly a century ago still apply today. Markets evolve, technology changes, but human behavior and risk do not.

“The realization of the danger is the important thing. Fools rush in, and in Wall Street that is fatal.”

The biggest edge in markets is not prediction. It is recognizing when risk is rising and stepping back.

Most losses do not come from being wrong. They come from ignoring danger signals and staying exposed anyway.

Great traders survive first. Profits come second.

If you want to go deeper, read his book The Battle for Investment Survival.

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The Market Advisor Many Market Wizards Paid Attention To

Most market commentary is noise.

The best traders in Market Wizards agreed on that. They also agreed on who to listen to.

Richard Dennis. Bruce Kovner. Michael Marcus. Paul Tudor Jones.

All pointed to Martin Zweig.

Zweig did not predict. He measured risk.

His framework was built on a few non negotiables:

  • Do not fight the tape

  • Do not fight the Fed

  • Press risk only when conditions align

  • Cut losses without hesitation

  • Stay flexible as conditions change

He believed big money is made by riding major trends, not by catching tops or bottoms. You can buy above the low and sell below the high and still capture the real move.

Ego was the real enemy. Small losses were acceptable.

Most of all, he understood patience. When indicators were unclear, he stayed defensive. When they became one sided, he acted decisively.

Doing nothing was a position. Often the right one.

That discipline is why the greatest traders listened then. And why his work still matters now.

If you want to go deeper, read his book Winning on Wall Street.

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Stanley Druckenmiller on Risk, Reward, and Conviction

Stanley Druckenmiller is one of the most successful traders and investors of all time. From 1981 to 2010, he ran Duquesne Capital Management with a remarkable record, never having a losing year and generating average annual returns of roughly 30%. That kind of consistency across multiple market cycles is almost unheard of.

In The New Market Wizards, Druckenmiller distilled two lessons he learned from George Soros that sit at the core of elite trading.

First, on what actually matters:

“I’ve learned many things from him, but perhaps the most significant is that it’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”

This reframes trading completely.

Accuracy is not the goal. Asymmetry is.

You can be wrong often and still succeed if losses are controlled. You can be right frequently and still fail if losses are large. What matters is how much you make when things go your way versus how much you give back when they don’t.

Then he explains what separates the great from the merely good when opportunity is exceptional:

“Soros has taught me that when you have tremendous conviction on a trade, you have to go for the jugular. It takes courage to be a pig. It takes courage to ride a profit with huge leverage. As far as Soros is concerned, when you’re right on something”

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Marty Schwartz’s 10 Rules for Trading Longevity

Marty Schwartz is one of the greatest traders of all time. He turned $40,000 into more than $20 million trading futures, while never suffering more than a 3 percent drawdown. 

In Market Wizards, he shared the rules that guided his career. 

Trend first

“I always check my charts and the moving averages prior to taking a position. Is the price above or below the moving average? That works better than any tool I have. I try not to go against the moving averages; it is self-destructive.” 

Relative strength matters

“Has a stock held above its most recent low when the market has penetrated its most recent low? If so, that stock is much healthier than the market. Those are the types of divergences I always look for.” 

Be intentional

“Before putting on a position always ask, ‘Do I really want to have this position?’” 

Manage success

“After a successful period, take a day off as a reward. I’ve found it difficult to sustain excellent trading for more than two weeks at a time. I’ve had periods where I can be profitable for twelve days in a row, but eventually you just get battle fatigue. So after a strong run of profits, I try to play smaller rather than larger. My biggest losses have always followed my largest profits.” 

Avoid bottom fishing

“Bottom fishing is one of the most expensive forms of gambling. It’s OK to break this rule on occasion if you have sufficient justification.” 

Define risk before entry

“That brings me to my next rule: Before taking a position, always know the amount you are willing to lose. Know your ‘uncle point’ and honor it. I have a pain threshold, and if I reach that point, I must get out.” 

Outwork everyone

“Work, work, and more work.” 

Money management above all

“The most important thing is money management, money management, money management.” 

Let winners run

“Let my gains run.” 

Trust strong positions

“If you’re ever very nervous about a position overnight, and especially over a weekend, and you’re able to get out at a much better price than you thought possible when the market trades, you’re usually better off staying with the position.” 

There’s a clear pattern here. 

Trend alignment. Risk control. Self-awareness. Relentless discipline. 

Schwartz didn’t win by predicting the future. He won by staying alive long enough to let edge compound. 

That lesson never goes out of style.

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Ed Seykota’s Rules for Survival and Success

When Ed Seykota was asked a simple question in Market Wizards:

What are the trading rules you live by?

His answer was as concise as it was profound:

“a. Cut losses.

b. Ride winners.

c. Keep bets small.

d. Follow the rules without question.

e. Know when to break the rules.”

There is no fluff here. No complexity. No debate.

Every rule exists to keep you alive long enough to succeed.

Cutting losses protects capital. Riding winners allows edge to compound. Keeping bets small prevents emotion from taking over. Following rules removes hesitation and second guessing.

And then there is the final rule.

Knowing when to break the rules does not mean abandoning discipline. It means understanding context. Experience teaches when conditions are exceptional and when flexibility is earned, not forced.

Most traders fail because they violate the first four. Very few ever reach the point where the fifth even applies.

Seykota’s list is not just a trading system. It is a survival framework.

Simple to read. Difficult to follow. And timeless for a reason.

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Bruce Kovner on the Hidden Risk Most Traders Miss

Bruce Kovner shared one of the most important risk lessons in Market Wizards, and it has nothing to do with entries or exits:

“I study the correlation of my trades to reduce my exposure. We do a daily computer analysis to see how correlated our positions are. Through bitter experience, I have learned that a mistake in position correlation is the root of some of the most serious problems in trading. If you have eight highly correlated positions, then you are really trading one position that is eight times as large.”

This is a mistake that quietly destroys traders.

On the surface, it feels like diversification. Multiple positions. Different tickers. Separate charts.

In reality, many traders are just making the same bet over and over.

Now, to be clear, if you are an O’Neil disciple, you already understand that concentration is not the enemy. Strong trends deserve capital, and pressing your best ideas is part of winning big.

This is not an argument against concentration.

It is a reminder that correlation still matters.

If your positions all move together, your true exposure is far larger than it appears. Concentration without awareness can quietly turn into unintended leverage.

And if your goal is diversification, correlation is the lens you must use to measure it. Different tickers do not automatically mean different risk.

Kovner’s insight reframes risk at the portfolio level.

Risk is not how many positions you hold.

It is how those positions behave together.

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Gary Bielfeldt on the Traits That Actually Matter

Gary Bielfeldt shared one of the clearest summaries of what actually matters in trading, from Market Wizards:

“The most important is discipline; I am sure everyone tells you that. Second, you have to have patience; if you have a good trade on, you have to be able to stay with it. Third, you need courage to go into the market, and courage comes from adequate capitalization. Fourth, you must have a willingness to lose; that is also related to adequate capitalization. Fifth, you need a strong desire to win.”

This is not theory. It is lived experience.

Capitalization shapes behavior. When traders are undercapitalized, fear dominates decisions. Winners are cut short. Losses feel unbearable. Discipline becomes impossible.

With adequate capital, patience becomes realistic. Courage is no longer forced. Losses are survivable, not threatening.

Bielfeldt also makes an important distinction. Wanting to win is not ego. It is commitment. It is the willingness to prepare, follow rules, and stay engaged through difficult periods.

Discipline keeps you aligned.

Patience keeps you in trends.

Capital keeps emotions under control.

That combination is what allows consistency to exist at all.

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Paul Tudor Jones on the Fastest Way to Blow Up

This lesson shows up again and again in Market Wizards, but Paul Tudor Jones said it as bluntly as possible:

“Don’t ever average losers.”

“Losers, average losers.”

There’s no ambiguity there.

Averaging down isn’t courage.

It isn’t conviction.

And it definitely isn’t discipline.

It’s usually ego.

When a trade moves against you, the market is giving feedback. Averaging a loser is choosing to ignore that feedback and double down on being wrong.

Great traders do the opposite.

They cut losses quickly.

They preserve capital.

They keep their emotional and financial flexibility intact.

Averaging winners lets strength compound.

Averaging losers lets risk explode.

That’s why this rule survives every market cycle, every strategy, and every generation of traders.

You can be wrong many times and still succeed.

You just can’t stay wrong and keep pressing.

The market doesn’t reward hope.

It rewards discipline.

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William O’Neil on Why Volume Tells the Truth

William O’Neil explained volume in the simplest and most practical way possible:

“The volume in a stock is a measure of supply and demand. When a stock is beginning to move into new high ground, volume should increase by at least 50 percent over the average daily volume in recent months. High volume at a key point is an extraordinarily valuable tipoff that a stock is ready to move. Volume can also be used in a reverse manner. When prices enter a consolidation after an advance, volume should dry up very substantially. In other words, there should be very little selling coming into the market. During a consolidation, declining volume is generally constructive.”

This is one of the most misunderstood concepts in trading.

Volume isn’t noise. It’s participation. It tells you whether institutions are involved or standing aside.

When a stock breaks into new highs on heavy volume, it signals aggressive demand. Large buyers are willing to pay higher prices and they are doing it in size.

But just as important is what happens after the advance.

When a leading stock pauses and volume contracts, that’s not weakness. That’s a lack of selling pressure. Strong hands are holding shares. Weak hands are already gone.

That combination, strong volume on the way up and quiet volume during consolidation, is how healthy trends build.

Price shows you what is happening. Volume helps explain why.

And when both align at the right time, the market is often giving you a very clear message.

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William Eckhardt on What Really Makes a Great Trader

William Eckhardt, co-creator of the famous Turtle Trading experiment alongside Richard Dennis, shared one of the most honest observations ever made about trading success.

He put it simply:

“I haven’t seen much correlation between good trading and intelligence. Some outstanding traders are quite intelligent, but a few aren’t. Many outstandingly intelligent people are horrible traders. Average intelligence is enough. Beyond that, emotional makeup is more important.”

It’s a statement that cuts straight through one of the biggest myths in trading.

Success in the markets isn’t about being the smartest person in the room. It’s not about complex models, high IQ, or academic brilliance. Plenty of brilliant minds fail miserably in trading.

What matters more is emotional control.

The ability to stay disciplined when fear hits. The ability to stay humble when things go well. The ability to follow a plan even when your instincts are screaming otherwise.

That’s why so many traders with average intelligence outperform those with extraordinary intellect. They don’t overthink. They don’t force trades. They don’t let ego drive decisions.

In the end, trading is less about how smart you are and more about how well you can manage yourself.

And that, according to Eckhardt, is what truly separates the great ones.

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Randy McKay on Position Sizing and Knowing When to Pull Back

Another powerful lesson from Market Wizards comes from Randy McKay, who spoke candidly about how he manages risk through changing market conditions.

McKay explained his approach this way:

“When I trade, I’ll risk perhaps 5 to 10 percent of the money in my account. If I lose on that trade, no matter how strongly I feel, on my next trade I’ll risk no more than about 4 percent of my account. If I lose again, I’ll drop the trading size down to about 2 percent. I’ll keep on reducing my trading size as long as I’m losing. I’ve gone from trading as many as three thousand contracts per trade to as few as ten when I was cold, and then back again.”

When asked if this dramatic change in position size was a key to his success, his answer was direct:

“Absolutely, because every trader will go through cold spells.”

McKay went even further:

“When you’re trading well, you have a better mental attitude. When you’re trading poorly, you start wishing and hoping. Instead of getting into trades you think will work, you end up getting into trades you hope will work.”

That distinction is everything.

The best traders don’t just manage risk per trade. They manage themselves.

They press when they’re in sync with the market and pull back when they’re not. They respect cold streaks instead of fighting them. And they understand that position size is not just a math decision, but a psychological one.

In the end, longevity in trading isn’t about being right all the time. It’s about surviving the cold stretches long enough to be there when conditions turn back in your favor.

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Dr. Van K. Tharp on What Separates Great Traders

Dr. Van K. Tharp once described what truly separates successful traders from everyone else:

“The top traders that I’ve worked with began their careers with an extensive study of the markets. They developed and refined models of how to trade. They mentally rehearsed what they wanted to do extensively until they had the belief that they would win. At this point, they had both the confidence and the commitment necessary to produce success.”

There’s nothing flashy here. No shortcuts. No secret indicator.

Just preparation, repetition, and belief built through deliberate practice.

The best traders don’t rely on hope. They study. They test. They refine a process until it becomes second nature. Then they rehearse it mentally until execution feels automatic.

Confidence doesn’t come from winning a few trades. It comes from knowing exactly what to do when the moment arrives.

That confidence is built over time. It comes from years of hard work, preparation, and execution.

And that’s what ultimately separates professionals from everyone else.

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Tom Basso on the Power of Thinking Long-Term

Tom Basso, often called Mr. Serenity, once gave one of the most important pieces of advice a trader can hear:

“I would tell that trader to think of each trade as one of the next one thousand trades he’s going to make. If you start thinking in terms of the next one thousand trades, all of a sudden you’ve made any single trade seem very inconsequential. Who cares if a particular trade is a winner or a loser? It’s just another trade.”

This mindset changes everything.

Most traders sabotage themselves by treating every trade like it has to matter. Every entry feels heavy. Every loss feels personal. Every drawdown feels like failure.

Basso’s insight flips that thinking completely.

When you view trading as a long series of decisions, not a single outcome, pressure disappears. Losses stop hurting your confidence. Wins stop inflating your ego. You start focusing on process instead of emotion.

That’s when consistency begins to emerge.

Not because you’re predicting better, but because you’re executing better.

The goal isn’t to win the next trade. The goal is to survive and perform across the next thousand.

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Victor Sperandeo on Surviving a Trading Slump

Victor Sperandeo once shared a lesson he borrowed from baseball legend Ty Cobb.

“Ty Cobb once was asked why he never had slumps. He said that whenever he felt himself getting into a slump, he wouldn’t try to get a hit, but he would simply try to make contact with the ball. To relate that concept to trading, when you’re in a slump, try to be patient and wait for a trade that you feel very confident about and keep the bet size small. Your goal should not be to make lots of money but rather to get your confidence back by making correct decisions.”

That mindset is timeless.

When traders start pressing, they usually make things worse. They swing harder. They force trades. They try to make the money back quickly.

Sperandeo’s lesson is the opposite.

When you’re off your game, the goal is not profits. The goal is making contact. Small size. High quality setups. Process focused.

Confidence returns naturally once you start doing the right things again.

That is how professionals survive drawdowns and stay in the game long enough to catch the next big run.

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How William O’Neil Knew a Bear Market Was Coming

William O’Neil was once asked a simple but powerful question:

How do you recognize a bear market before it’s too late?

His answer was just as simple:

“By how well my individual stocks are doing. If, during the bull phase, the leaders start losing, it indicates that a bear market is developing. If I have five or six stocks in a row that get stopped out, a caution flag goes up.”

That’s it. No macro forecasts. No economic predictions. No guessing.

Just the market speaking through price action.

When true leaders stop acting like leaders, something beneath the surface is changing. Institutions quietly step back. Momentum fades. Breakouts fail. Stops get hit one after another.

That’s the market warning you before the indexes ever roll over.

This is why I always say the best risk management tool isn’t a macro indicator. It’s your own trades.

When your best setups stop working, listen.

That’s usually the market telling you it’s time to play defense.

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Michael Marcus, a student of Ed Seykota and one of the most successful traders of all time, once turned a small account into more than $80 million.

He also said something that still holds true today:

“I really feel that if you can trade one market, you can trade them all. The principles are the same. Trading is emotion. It is mass psychology, greed, and fear. It is all the same in every situation.”

Do you agree?

https://tradingmomentum.substack.com/p/the-legendary-trader-michael-marcus

ArticleThe Legendary Trader Michael Marcus Once Said Something Most Traders Still Ignore