Momentum Trading Strategy

Notes

Selling & Holding Winners

Managing a trade after it starts working: when to take profits, how to stay in big winners, and when to exit.

Showing 1–3 of 3 notes

$NVDA ×
View on Substack ↗

Swing Trader or Position Trader? The Difference Is Management

The underlying strategy may be the same. What changes is the entry, holding period, and method used to manage the trade.

Time frame affects how long we hold a position and how we manage the trade. It does not necessarily change the foundation of the strategy.

Mark Minervini describes swinging in and out of stocks to compound capital, while David Ryan emphasizes holding winners as long as the uptrend remains healthy. These are tendencies, not rigid rules.

Minervini may hold an exceptional winner for multiple quarters, while Ryan will exit immediately if a new position hits his stop or doesn’t act right.

William O’Neil also combines profit-taking rules with provisions for holding exceptional winners longer. Position trading does not mean holding every purchase for years or tolerating big drawdowns. The longer holding period applies only to stocks that continue acting correctly.

NVDA illustrates how the same opportunity can be managed differently depending on the trader’s time frame.

In this example, both traders enter at the same breakout.

The swing trader may capture the faster portion of the move and begin selling as the stock loses its shorter-term 10-day or 20-day moving averages. The position trader may give the stock more room and use the 50-day or even the 200-day moving average, along with the larger price structure, to participate in a longer advance.

They do not have to use the same entry, either.

One trader may enter on an early cheat, pullback, or pullback reversal, while another waits for the traditional breakout. These are differences in execution, not necessarily differences in the underlying strategy.

Many newer traders confuse a trader’s time frame with the time frame of the chart being viewed. They are related, but they are not the same thing.

A setup can be visible on the weekly chart that is not as clear on the daily chart. A shorter, tighter setup may also appear on the daily chart without creating a distinct pattern on the weekly chart.

Ideally, as we see in this NVDA example, the daily and weekly charts are aligned. The weekly chart confirms the larger Stage 2 uptrend and overall price structure, while the daily chart provides a more precise view of the setup, entry, and risk.

David Ryan is primarily a position trader, but he studies both daily and weekly charts. Minervini generally trades shorter-term swings, but he also uses both.

A swing trader may naturally rely more heavily on the daily chart for setups, entries, and trade management while using the weekly chart for context. A position trader may rely more heavily on the weekly chart for the larger trend and base structure while using the daily chart to refine entries and manage risk.

The chart time frame is the lens being used. The trading time frame is how the position is managed.

A position trader generally seeks to compound capital by giving winning stocks more time to produce larger gains. A swing trader seeks to compound the account through greater trade frequency.

What they share is more important than what separates them.

Both are buying a high-relative-strength leader in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend with constructive price and volume characteristics. The opportunity may be the same. The difference is how each trader chooses to manage it.

View on Substack ↗

How to Hold Winners Longer Without Guessing the Top

In the Master Trader Program, Mark Minervini talked with David Ryan about something every trader struggles with.

How do you hold on to a great stock… longer?

Not just take a quick gain. But stay in it when it has the potential to make a much bigger move.

He introduced what he calls the 50-day breakeven or better rule.

It is simple.

And it is powerful.

This is not how you enter the trade.

You still take your entry the same way. You still define your risk the same way. You still place your initial stop based on the chart.

Nothing changes there.

The shift happens after you are in a winning position.

As the stock moves higher, the 50-day moving average starts to rise.

At some point, that 50-day will catch up to your breakeven.

That is the key moment.

Once the 50-day reaches breakeven or better, it can become your trailing stop.

From there, you let the stock work.

You are no longer guessing where to sell. You are letting the trend decide.

Minervini even said he does not rely heavily on moving averages.

But in the early stages of a bull market, this is where it becomes extremely useful.

Because the best stocks can go a long distance before they ever break the 50-day.

That is the whole idea.

Give strong trends room to develop.

Without giving back your gains.

Now look at these examples.

One from NVIDIA in 2024. One from SanDisk in 2025–2026.

Both show the same thing.

A proper entry. A defined stop. Then the 50-day catching up… and taking over as the trailing stop.

That is how you stay in a winner long enough to matter.

Most traders sell too early.

Not because the stock is done.

But because they do not have a process to stay in it.

This solves that.

It is not about predicting the top.

It is about staying with the trend as long as it remains intact.

If you want to go deeper, I cover this and several other ways to manage trades using a few key indicators in Module 5 of my course, available to all paid subscribers.

View on Substack ↗

Stanley Druckenmiller on Letting Winners Run

Cut losers short. Let winners run.

Anyone who has been reading my notes is probably sick of hearing it.

But this is foundational.

Rookies struggle with taking losses. Pros struggle with sitting with big gains.

Druckenmiller tells on himself with Nvidia.

After riding it from around 150 to 800, he said:

“So then the stock goes to 800 and I violated everything I said in the interview. I couldn't stand success. I'd gone from 150 to 800. I was long term in it. I couldn't deal with it and I sold it. And then it was 1,400 like five weeks later and I was sick.”

Beginners fear losses.

Professionals can take losses.

But even the greats feel the discomfort of big gains.

The skill is not just cutting losers.

It is having the discipline to let a true leader keep working.