Momentum Trading Strategy

Notes

Trading Psychology & Mindset

The inner game: the emotions, beliefs and habits that decide whether a trader follows a plan.

Showing 1–3 of 3 notes

$QQQ ×
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The $1,000 Car Payment Is Keeping People Poor

A lot of people complain about money while living paycheck to paycheck.

And I’m not talking about people in poverty.

I’m talking about middle-class and upper-middle-class Americans making good incomes while driving $100,000 vehicles, fully loaded Suburbans, Escalades, Mercedes, BMWs, Audis, and other status symbols they can barely justify.

They make money.

Just not enough money to support the lifestyle they are trying to maintain.

That is the trap.

So many people are stuck in the materialistic rat race of keeping up with the Joneses and because so much of society does it, it feels normal.

But normal does not mean sustainable.

How many of those same people have millions saved by their 40s or 50s?

Not many.

The problem is not always income.

The problem is that every time income goes up, liabilities go up with it.

Bigger house.

Bigger car.

Bigger payment.

Bigger lifestyle.

Same financial stress.

Now look at the chart.

$1,000 invested every month into QQQ over this 25-year period would have required $300,000 in total contributions.

That is not some impossible number.

That is the equivalent of a luxury car payment redirected into ownership instead of consumption.

The result?

Roughly $3 million.

The person who chose the car has a depreciating asset.

The person who chose discipline has a life-changing portfolio.

Past returns do not guarantee future results, and QQQ may not repeat this exact return.

BUT that is not the main point.

The point is that consistently buying productive assets beats consistently financing depreciating assets.

I’m a momentum growth trader. I own businesses that generate income. I do not rely only on passive index investing.

But even I deeply respect the power of compounding like this over time.

Even William O’Neil, long before ETFs became mainstream, understood that mutual funds could be a powerful vehicle for long-term growth when held over years.

Most people do not need a complicated strategy to change their financial future.

They need discipline.

Live on 80% of what you make.

Save and invest 20%. (yes, the 80/20 rule)

At a minimum, pay yourself first with 10% every month.

As you make more, save more.

But most people do the opposite.

They make more and add more liabilities.

That is the never-ending rat race.

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Winning in Trading Demands Everything and Promises Nothing

Most people fail at trading because they start by treating it like a get rich quick game. When they realize it isn’t, they move on. This happens every cycle. A new group comes in, then quietly leaves.

Because of that, the hard truth is that most people would be better off consistently putting money each month into a simple ETF like SPY or QQQ and letting time do the work.

For the few who stay, the path looks very different.

They get their ass kicked.

They hit the books.

They get their ass kicked again.

They study more, test, execute, and eventually find a method with a real edge.

Just as important, they learn when and how to use that edge. That’s what gives them a chance.

Winning long term at trading requires far more than most people realize. It’s total commitment with no guarantees. It reminds me of a video I showed my boys who compete in sports:

“Winning requires all of you, and more, but it promises you nothing.”

-Lewis Caralla

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When emotions run high, zoom out

I’m a short-term trader.

I run a day trading account. I also run a swing and position trading account built around O’Neil and CANSLIM and I also have an account that does nothing fancy and consistently invests into SPY and QQQ.

You would think someone like me would be the most emotionally affected by short-term market moves.

I’m not.

A 2% down day like today is no big deal. It is not the end of the world, no matter how financial media or influencers try to frame it.

When in doubt, zoom out.

What always surprises me is how emotional people get over pullbacks, corrections, and even full bear markets. Most of these people are not short-term traders. They claim to be long-term investors with long time horizons, yet they panic at exactly the moments that long-term investors should expect.

Look at the last 20 years.

  • Tariff scares.

  • COVID.

  • The 2022 bear market.

  • 2018.

  • 2015.

  • 2011.

  • The Great Financial Crisis.

Even with all of that, the Nasdaq-100 is up over 1400% in the last two decades.

That perspective changes everything.

If normal volatility makes you emotional, that is feedback. It usually means one of two things. You are either gambling, struggle emotionally, or you do not truly understand markets or risk management.

Long-term investing is boring. It requires patience, discipline, and the ability to ignore noise.

The market does not reward emotional reactions. It rewards time, consistency, and perspective.

Zoom out.